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Where are they? Personal Space Jaguar Country Range Roving Park Estimates

Personal Space
To protect the jaguar, conservation biologists need to understand how much space each solitary jaguar requires.

Can a particular jaguar preserve be expected to hold 100 jaguars or 500 or 5?

In order to answer that question, we must be able to calculate jaguar population density. Population density is simply the number of individuals divided by the size of the area. We get the number of individuals from our camera trap studies.

This map shows a study area in Belize where scientists placed camera traps, shown by the red dots. When you click on a dot, the name of a jaguar(s) will appear. Click your way through the entire study area and find out how many individual jaguars they came up with. Click on spotting record to see a summary.

  How many individuals did you count?

The individuals caught in camera traps represent part of the population, but not necessarily all of it. There may be individuals living in this area that did not walk in front of a camera trap during the survey period. So how do we estimate the real size of the population, if it's not just the number you counted above?

Scientists do this through a method called mark-recapture. The premise of the method is that you can estimate population size by looking at the number of animals that are "recaptured" during a second survey period.

A basic mark -recapture formula that can be applied in order to estimate the population size is the following:

N =   C x M
      R  


N= Estimated Population Size

M= # of individuals Marked in first survey

C= # of individuals Captured in second survey

R= # of individuals Recaptured in second survey
 
 
  1. A second survey was conducted 3 months after the one above and 15 jaguars were recorded. Of those 15 jaguars (C), 13 were jaguars seen during the first survey (R). If you apply the formula using the number of individuals you counted above (M), what is the estimated population size?

2. Your study area was 140 square kilometers. Using the estimated population size you just calculated, find the jaguar population density. Remember, density is calculated by dividing the size of the area by the estimated population size.

3. In some camera traps you found multiple individuals, do you think these jaguars are seeing each other? Why would jaguars, solitary animals, have territories that overlap?

 


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© 2006 Wildlife Conservation Society.